My assumption was my PCM was calculating an incorrect Ethanol content due to really tired (original) O2 sensors. I changed out all 4 and the exact same results occur. The Ethanol content calculation just seems to get higher and higher, tank to tank of the Costco <10% Ethanol (with some Shell and Chevron <10% Ethanol thrown in).
When I found the reset function on the Tech 2 I was excited as I could see if running 0% Ethanol would still yield an ever creeping higher Ethanol calculation (and seemingly ever richer open loop mixture). In fact, when I pumped a tank full of the 0% and reset it, it stayed right at 3.14% calculated content through the whole tank (the number the Tech 2 reset it to).
As soon as I started using the Costco gas again, it started moving up. I have used about a quarter of a tank of the latest fill of Costco Regular and it finished at 17% today. I suspect before I get to refill time it will be over 30% calculated.
I wish I knew what that algorithm looked like, what sensor input it relied on, to calculate the %. Then I would at least know what I might try to change out, clean, etc.
Does this tell you anything, compared to your driving and diagnostics procedures?
"E85 Flex Fuel Description
E85 compatible vehicles no longer use an alcohol sensor to determine and adjust for the alcohol content of the fuel in the tank. Instead, the vehicle calculates the alcohol content of the fuel through measured adjustments.
The ethanol calculation occurs with the engine running after a refueling event has been detected via a measured change in the fuel level sender output. The virtual flex fuel sensor (V-FFS) algorithm temporarily closes the canister purge valve for a few seconds and monitors information from the closed loop fuel trim system to calculate the ethanol content. This logic executes several times until the ethanol calculation is deemed to be stable. This may take several minutes under low fuel flow conditions such as idle, or a shorter time during higher fuel flow, off-idle conditions.
Air-fuel ratios and the corresponding ethanol percentage are updated following each purge-off sequence. The fuel alcohol content percentage value can be read on a scan tool.
When an E85 compatible vehicle is built, an ECM or PCM replaced, or if the learned alcohol content has been reset with a scan tool the fuel system will need to contain ASTM gasoline with 10 percent or less ethanol content.
A minimum of 11 liters (3 gallons) must be put in the tank in order for the vehicle to recognize a re-fueling event. It is not necessary to turn the ignition OFF in order to have the re-fueling event recognized, however local safety regulations should be followed.
After the re-fueling event, the system registers the amount of fuel that was added, relative to the amount that was in the tank. Reading fuel trim and O2 sensor activity, the system determines if the fuel added was either ASTM Gasoline or ASTM E85. Based on that determination, the system adjusts to the expected alcohol mix in the fuel tank, and then the fuel trim and O2 sensor activity fine tunes the adjustments. The system must remain in closed loop in order for this adjustment to occur. Numerous short trips after switching from gasoline to E85, or E85 to gasoline, can result in drivability symptoms due to the inability of the system to adjust for fuel composition by not attaining closed loop"