Are you using something like KBB trade in value or do you have access to auction wholesale values?
KBB tends to be way optimistic.
using KBB trade in using very good condition.
when I've done the KBB instant cash offer lately, the offers have been spot on with the average trade in value using very good....
2019 accord sport with 59k miles was spot on with the book value at $24.4k...dealer offered $24k on trade so I just took that instead (this was a couple weeks ago - value now is $23k)
Our 2021 Yukon was the same way when we sold it back in April...offer aligned up with average trade in...very good condition
right now its trade in using VG is ranging from $69-73.5k...just for grins, I plugged it into carvana and they offered $69.2k...paid sticker at $66k...we'd keep it but wife doesn't like the color and they are quite depreciating like "normal"
I agree I'd expect used car values to start dropping off, the upside/downside (whichever side of the fence you're on) is they are starting from a pretty high plateau...
ultimately, even if it drops several more thousand to break even or below what we paid we're good with it
I looked up our 2019 we traded in on the 2021...it had 38k miles, a SLT premium 4wd listed for $70k...think we paid a little over $60k maybe and got $40k on trade...this was in Dec 2020 before the car market decided to get stupid last year